There are rumblings of a potential “silver squeeze” ahead as Reddit traders attempt to replicate last week’s GameStop GME +67.9% short-squeeze in the silver market. As a long-time believer in hard assets such as gold and silver, that is a thesis that I can get excited about (unlike GameStop, which is extremely overvalued). The idea behind the “silver squeeze” thesis is that big banks and hedge funds currently have massive short positions in the silver market for the purpose of suppressing the price of the precious metal. According to this theory, if enough small investors buy into the silver market, the big banks and hedge funds will be forced to cover or buy back their short positions, which would send the price of silver soaring.
I believe that chart analysis is a tool that is helpful for determining if a large move is likely ahead in the silver market. After all, this type of analysis helped me spot Bitcoin’s recent run-up ahead of time. Right now, silver futures are trading in a range between the $22 support level and the $30 resistance level that formed at the peak in early-August. If silver can push above $30 on strong volume, the odds of an even more extensive bullish move will increase.
Daily silver chart
FINVIZ.COM
The weekly silver chart shows the significance of the $22 to $30 trading range:
Weekly silver chart
FINVIZ.COM
The monthly silver chart shows the $22 to $30 trading range along with other likely resistance levels at $35, $45, and $50 that formed at prior peaks in 2011 and 2012. If silver can close above $30 in a convincing manner, the next price target to watch is $35 and so on.
Monthly silver chart
FINVIZ.COM
For now, I am watching and waiting to see if silver can close decisively above $30. I’ve been very optimistic about the outlook for safe-haven assets like gold and silver. Because I had been correctly expecting a serious economic crisis, I have favored safe-haven assets over risk assets such as stocks and real estate. I still believe that these safe-havens will thrive in the years to come as central banks continue to flood the world with liquidity in an attempt to prop-up the debt-ridden global economy.
www.forbes.com
